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Cell Communication and Signaling

○ Springer Science and Business Media LLC

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Cell Communication and Signaling's content profile, based on 51 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.05% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

1
Expression and Distribution of Src Kinase Lyn in the Placenta of Patients with Preeclampsia

Heyman, T. D.; Buhimschi, I. A.; Zhao, G.; Medegan Fagla, B.; Buhimschi, C. S.; Ackerman, W. E.

2026-10-21 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365934 medRxiv
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Src family kinases (SFKs) constitute a major non-receptor tyrosine kinase class that regulate processes important for pregnancy. We profiled placental SFKs to assess cell-specific expression, tissue localization, and clinical associations in early-onset preeclampsia (PE). Placental SFK transcripts were analyzed using bulk RNA sequencing discovery (GSE203507; n=15 PE, n=15 controls) and external validation (GSE114691; n=40 PE, n=21 controls) cohorts. Single-cell and single-nucleus RNA sequencing atlases mapped cell-specific expression. Computational deconvolution and causal mediation analyses were applied to bulk datasets. Findings were cross-validated by real-time quantitative PCR (qPCR; n=9 early-onset PE, n=7 controls) and immunohistochemistry (IHC). Transcriptomic data showed that LYN was the sole SFK member consistently elevated in early-onset PE placentas across discovery (1.8-fold, FDR<0.01) and validation cohorts (2.2-fold, FDR<0.001). Elevation was verified by qPCR (p<0.0001) and remained significant after adjusting for clinical covariates. Placental LYN abundance correlated positively with maximum antepartum maternal systolic blood pressure (r=0.63, p<0.01). Single-cell transcriptome atlases demonstrated LYN enrichment in myeloid lineages, extravillous trophoblasts, and syncytiotrophoblast (SCT). Deconvolution and mediation analyses indicated that altered tissue composition and increased per-cell expression each accounted for approximately half of the PE-associated LYN increase. IHC localized Lyn protein to Hofbauer macrophages and the apical microvillar SCT membrane in PE placentas. We conclude that placental LYN expression is selectively elevated in early-onset PE and correlates with maternal blood pressure severity. Lyn localization to trophoblasts and placental immune cells suggests potential roles in mediating inflammation and hypoxia-associated signaling in PE pathogenesis.

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Recurrence patterns and adjuvant therapy in endometrioid early-stage endometrial cancer with a p53-abnormal pattern

Lee, S. h.; Karimah, P. D.; KIM, K.; Kim, S. I.; Hwang, W. Y.; Kim, M. K.; Kim, J.-H.; Choi, C. H.; Lee, Y.-K.

2026-10-16 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365577 medRxiv
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Objective: Current guidelines recommend different adjuvant treatment strategies for women with endometrioid early stage endometrial cancer exhibiting a p53 abnormal pattern. We aimed to evaluate recurrence patterns and explore the clinical implications for adjuvant therapy in this population. Materials and methods: This multicenter retrospective study included 86 patients with endometrioid, p53 abnormal, FIGO stage I, II endometrial cancer treated between 2013 and 2023 at six hospitals in the Republic of Korea. Clinicopathologic data were collected through medical record review. Progression free survival (PFS) was estimated using the Kaplan Meier method, and prognostic factors were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Results: The 12, 24, and 36 month PFS rates were 91%, 78%, and 76%, respectively. Among the 16 patients who experienced recurrence, 12 (75%) had distant metastases. Adjuvant chemotherapy showed a trend toward improved PFS compared with adjuvant radiation therapy with or without chemotherapy (p=0.10). In multivariable analysis, the p53 overexpression pattern was independently associated with worse PFS compared with the p53 null pattern (HR 8.59, 95% CI 1.61 to 45.79, p=0.01). Conclusion: Given the poor PFS, the predominance of distant recurrence and the observed trend toward improved PFS with chemotherapy, adjuvant chemotherapy may be considered in women with endometrioid early stage endometrial cancer exhibiting a p53 abnormal pattern. Further studies are warranted to clarify the prognostic impact of p53 abnormality subtypes.

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Biallelic BECN1 variants cause neurodevelopmental disorders via AMPA receptor dysregulation

Kuramoto, K.; Ullah, F.; Liang, P.; Ramirez, I. M.; AlAbdi, L.; Feng, B.; Sakurai, M.; Kang, M.-S.; Dong, H.; Oyeyemi, M.; Qin, Z.; Coghlan, M. A.; Sharma, A.; Mercier, A.; McRae, A.; Belmadani, A.; Contractor, A.; Abuyousef, O.; Hashem, M. O.; Alhashem, A.; Maddirevula, S.; Alkuraya, F.; He, Y.; Davis, E. E.; He, C.

2026-10-15 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.13.26365182 medRxiv
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Genetic regulation of neurodevelopmental disorders that impair brain development and social interaction is complex and poorly understood. Although emerging evidence suggests a link between neurodevelopmental disorders and autophagy deficits, congenital autophagy gene disorders are rare in humans, and underlying molecular mechanisms remain unknown. Here we demonstrate that the autophagy protein BECN1 is a regulator of neuronal and social development in vertebrate species. We identify rare deleterious biallelic BECN1 variants that cause neurodevelopmental disorders in two unrelated families. Becn1 disruption also causes neuronal and social developmental defects in mouse and zebrafish models. BECN1 serves as an adaptor to recruit Arc to the E3 ubiquitin ligase UBE3A for polyubiquitination and degradation, thereby maintaining postsynaptic AMPA receptor (AMPAR) stability, AMPAR-mediated excitatory neurotransmission, and normal social interaction. Thus, our study illustrates new biology and a non-canonical mechanism by which BECN1 regulates neurodevelopment in humans, mice and zebrafish, via a crosstalk with the ubiquitin-proteasomal machinery.

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Blood Cytokine Profiling Reveals Distinct Inflammatory Signatures in Phenotypes A and B of Polyendocrine Metabolic Ovarian Syndrome (PMOS; formerly PCOS).

Patra, L. P.; Johnson, B. S.; Jayakrishnan, K. P.; Pillai, S. M.; Laloraya, M.

2026-10-20 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.10.20.26365978 medRxiv
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Polyendocrine Metabolic Ovarian Syndrome (PMOS, formerly PCOS) is associated with chronic low-grade inflammation. This study aimed to characterize the peripheral cytokine landscape in women with PMOS and identify cytokines associated with disease pathogenesis and phenotypic variation. Plasma concentrations of 48 cytokines were quantified using a multiplex bead-based assay in 102 women with PMOS and 114 healthy controls. We performed receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, odds ratio estimation, correlation analysis, and network analyses to characterise cytokine alterations and identify phenotype-associated inflammatory signatures. Fourteen cytokines were significantly elevated in PMOS compared with healthy controls: IL-18, IL-1Ra, IL-12p70, IL-13, IL-16, MCP-1, MCP-3, CTACK, Eotaxin, RANTES, IP-10, M-CSF, HGF, and {beta}-NGF. ROC analysis identified IL-16, CTACK, and IP-10 as potential discriminators of phenotype A, whereas IL-18, M-CSF, and HGF demonstrated promising discriminatory performance for phenotype B. Odds ratio analysis identified 11 cytokines with odds ratios greater than 1, with IL-16 showing the strongest association with PMOS. Correlation analysis revealed 10 strongly correlated cytokine pairs (r [&ge;] 0.7) in the PMOS group, suggesting coordinated regulation of inflammatory mediators. Gene ontology and network analysis highlighted alterations in chemotaxis and immune cell migration pathways, implicating these processes in PMOS-associated immune dysregulation. These findings reveal a distinct peripheral inflammatory cytokine signature and phenotype-associated differences in PMOS. IL-16 emerged as a prominent candidate for further investigation, given its strong association with PMOS. Peripheral cytokine profiling may provide a minimally invasive approach to characterising immune alterations and identifying candidate biomarkers for disease characterisation and phenotype stratification.

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Gut microbiota dysbiosis in adrenoleukodystrophy: a new piece in the puzzle?

Torreni, L.; Schluter, A.; Marti, S.; Ruiz, M.; Velez Santamaria, V.; Rodriguez-Palmero, A.; Artuch, A.; Guilera, C.; Arias, A.; Mochel, F.; Aguilera-Albesa, S.; Cantarin, V.; Casasnovas, C.; Artuch, R.; Koehler, W.; Pujol, A.; FOURCADE, S.

2026-10-20 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365873 medRxiv
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X-linked adrenoleukodystrophy (X-ALD) is the most common monogenic disorder affecting brain white matter, presenting a broad clinical spectrum from slowly progressive adrenomyeloneuropathy (AMN) to rapidly advancing cerebral demyelination. Factors influencing the variable disease expressivity remain poorly understood. We conducted shotgun metagenomic profiling of fecal samples from X-ALD patients and integrated these data with targeted plasma metabolomic analyses of amino acids and key metabolic intermediates. We identified distinct microbiome-associated metabolic signatures across X-ALD phenotypes. Notably, Bacteroides cellulosilyticus and Helicobacter apodemus abundance were significantly altered in AMN compared with childhood CALD patients. In parallel, X-ALD patients exhibited evidence of microbial metabolic remodeling characterized by altered amino acid metabolism, reduced folate biosynthetic potential, and enrichment of stress-adaptive pathways, including redox-associated functions, glyoxylate shunt activity, lipid A modification, lipopolysaccharide assembly, biofilm adhesin biosynthesis, and curli fiber production. Consistent with these microbial changes, plasma levels of branched-chain amino acids and methionine, as well as serum folate concentrations, were significantly reduced. Importantly, methionine levels showed an inverse correlation with neurofilament light chain (NfL) concentrations in patients with cerebral disease. Our findings reveal a previously unrecognized link between gut microbial metabolic capacity and systemic metabolic alterations in X-ALD. Our results reinforce previous evidence implicating methionine metabolism in disease severity. Collectively, these data support a modulatory role of the microbiota-gut-brain axis in neuroinflammatory and mitochondrial-related processes underlying X-ALD progression and highlight new opportunities for biomarker development and microbiome-informed therapeutic interventions.

6
Wide-angled proteomics in giant cell arteritis reveals complement pathway activation

Whittle, B. J.; Williams, M.; Lomax-Browne, H.; Sorensen, L.; Maughan, R. T.; Porteous, M.; Chakrabarty, A.; Luqmani, R. A.; Pickering, M. C.; Morgan, A. W.; Peters, J. E.

2026-10-15 rheumatology 10.64898/2026.10.14.26365544 medRxiv
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Giant cell arteritis (GCA) is an immune-mediated vasculitis that can cause serious morbidity including sight loss, stroke and aortic aneurysm. There is an unmet need for blood-based biomarkers and novel therapeutics. We measured plasma protein levels using the SomaScan v4.1 platform, comprising 7,273 protein measurements (SOMAmers) reflecting 6,596 unique protein targets. We profiled the proteome in 113 patients who presented acutely with possible GCA. 56 had biopsy-proven GCA and 57 did not have GCA (non-GCA). We found 144 SOMAmers increased and 151 reduced in GCA. Dysregulated biological pathways included IL6-JAK-STAT3 signalling, chemokines for both myeloid (e.g. CXCL2, CXCL3, CCL18, CCL23) and lymphoid cells (e.g. CXCL9, CXCL13), and the complement system (e.g. C9, CFHR5, C5a, Factor B). Enzyme-Linked Immunosorbent Assays (ELISAs) confirmed elevated plasma levels of C5a, the terminal complement complex, Factor B and CFHR5 in GCA. We developed a 26-protein signature that distinguished GCA from non-GCA (area-under-the curve, AUC, 0.93) and validated the diagnostic signature in external datasets. Our data implicate terminal complement pathway activation in GCA, raising the possibility of complement-directed therapies. We show proof-of-principle that a multiplex protein biomarker could be used as a diagnostic adjunct in suspected GCA.

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Peripheral Biomarkers and Determinants of Survival for Patients with Melanoma Brain Metastasis Treated with Immune Checkpoint Blockade

Hassan, J.; Little, M.; Farkas, A.; Mackay, S.; Coupe, N.; Middleton, M.; Payne, M. J.; Fairfax, B.

2026-10-21 oncology 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365947 medRxiv
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Background Immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) has become the standard of treatment for metastatic melanoma (MM). However, patients with melanoma brain metastases (MBM) are often excluded from clinical trials. Here we analyse patients within the real-world OxCITE cohort receiving ICB treatment for metastatic melanoma, with a focus on MBM, aiming to discern outcomes, prognostic factors and peripheral biomarkers. Methods Patients eligible for ICB treatment were recruited prospectively. Demographic, clinical and radiological data were collected from electronic patient records. Plasma samples were collected prior to the first cycle of treatment for plasma proteomic analysis. Results 307 patients were included, 81 of whom had MBM on commencing ICB. No difference in overall survival between patients with and without brain metastases was noted on multivariable analysis (HR=1.1, 95% CI 0.73-1.6, p=0.68), whereas hepatic metastases were associated with increased risk of death (HR 1.7, 95% CI 1.2-2.4, p=0.0019). Within the MBM group, steroid treatment (HR=2.5, 95% CI 1.3-5.0, p=0.006) was associated with poor OS, whilst treatment with single agent ICB (HR=1.9, 95% CI 0.86-3.9, p=0.11), symptomatic first presentation of MBM (HR=1.5, 95% CI 0.76-2.8, p=0.25) and anti-seizure drug treatment (HR=1.74, 95% CI 0.89-3.4, p=0.10) were not. Amongst all patients carriage of a BRAF mutation was associated with increased risk of MBM (OR 2.49, 95% CI 1.4-4.4, p=0.0007), and increased propensity to new brain metastases on ICB treatment (OR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1-5.9, p=0.036). Analysis of blood and plasma samples demonstrated that patients with MBM have altered haematological profiles, with raised NLR and increased plasma glial fibrillary acidic protein levels, reinforcing the distinct systemic features of MBM. Conclusions In this real-world cohort of patients receiving ICB for metastatic melanoma, the presence of MBM did not associate with worse OS. Conversely, baseline corticosteroid use was adversely prognostic. Intriguingly, plasma GFAP was significantly elevated in patients with MBM and correlated with the burden of intracranial disease, highlighting a potential role for GFAP as a candidate biomarker for MBM in high-risk surveillance. Our observations indicate the adversely prognostic weight historically attached to M1d disease is no longer applicable in the ICB era.

8
Association between Resilience and Financial Toxicity: The Moderating Role of Age, Race and Socioeconomic Factors

Zhan, Y.; Wells, R.; Knobf, T.; Shan, L.; Lustberg, M. B.; Wang, H.-L.

2026-10-21 nursing 10.64898/2026.10.19.26365649 medRxiv
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PURPOSE: Women with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) are at risk of developing financial toxicity due to prolonged treatment. Resilience has been identified as a key protective factor associated with better quality of life among cancer populations. However, it is unknown if resilience is associated with financial toxicity. We sought to examine the relationship between resilience and financial toxicity among women with MBC and explore whether socioeconomic factors moderate this association. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Our sample included 209 women with MBC who completed self-reported questionnaires of the Resilience Scale Specific to Cancer (RS-SC) and the Comprehensive Score for Financial Toxicity (COST). Participants (n=2) with missing data were excluded from analysis. We conducted multiple linear regression to examine the association of resilience with financial toxicity. Interaction terms were used to test moderating effects of age (18-39, 40-64 and > =65 years), race, education, health insurance, household income and employment status. RESULTS: Of the sample, 56.5% were aged 40-64 years, 76.6% were White, and 79.9% had a college or master degree or above. Women reported moderately high resilience with mean RS-SC score of 34.49 (SD = 6.67), and moderate financial toxicity (mean COST score =21.01 [SD = 10.51]). Adjusting for covariates, higher resilience was linked to better financial well-being (b = 0.37, SE= 0.11, 95% CI [0.14, 0.59], P < 0.01). Age, education and health insurance moderated this relationship, with resilience more strongly associated with better financial well-being among those aged 40-64 years, with college/master degree or above and private insurance. Race, household income, and employment status did not moderate the association between resilience and financial toxicity. CONCLUSION: Women with MBC who reported higher resilience are more likely to experience better financial well-being, but the strength of this association varied by socioeconomic factors. Further research is needed to confirm these findings. Our results have important implications for incorporating resilience into financial toxicity interventions and tailoring such interventions based on individual socioeconomic characteristics.

9
AI-Assisted Interpretation of Neurologic Autoantibody Cell-Based Assays

Qi, Z.; Cao, Z.; Tan, H.; Tang, B.; Shi, S. X.; Jia, R.; Yao, Y.; Chen, J.; Zhang, Z.; Wan, J.; Zheng, P.

2026-10-19 neurology 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365578 medRxiv
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Neurologic autoantibody cell-based assay images are difficult to interpret when fluorescence is weak, focal or dominated by background signal. We developed a visual artificial intelligence overlay that transfers detected cell boundaries from the structural channel to the antibody-staining image and evaluated standalone model concordance and its association with reader classifications. The analysis used 2 763 records for model development and 499 held-out records spanning 14 antibody targets. Four readers assessed the held-out records first without assistance and then with the boundary overlay and model category available. The selected model agreed with the reader-derived three-class reference in 85.2% of records, but recall was lowest for weak-positive or equivocal records. Reader agreement increased in the assisted session, and almost all revised ratings moved towards the model category. The combined display may support consistent visual review while also creating a risk of model-directed anchoring; its role as a second-read aid requires independent validation.

10
Eosinophil Count Changes and Glycemic Control: A Retrospective Cohort Study in Adults with Diabetes

Banerjee, S.; Shubina, M.; Morrison, F.; Turchin, A.

2026-10-20 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365690 medRxiv
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Glycemic control is key to prevention of complications of diabetes. Although eosinophils have been implicated in metabolic regulation, most human studies have been cross-sectional and have yielded inconsistent findings. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults with uncontrolled diabetes receiving primary care at Mass General Brigham. We evaluated the relationship between eosinophil count and HbA1c over one year, adjusting for demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical covariates. Among 21,447 patients included in the study, eosinophil count increased by a mean of 2.6 cells/L (SD 157.2 cells/L) and HbA1c decreased by a mean of 0.82% (SD 2.09%) during follow-up. Increases in eosinophil count were associated with reductions in HbA1c (parameter estimate -0.366 per 1,000 cells/L; 95% CI -0.526 to -0.206; P < 0.001), whereas baseline eosinophil count was not significantly associated with HbA1c changes. The association remained significant in a sensitivity analysis excluding systemic glucocorticoid users. Increases in eosinophil count were associated with improved glycemic control in adults with diabetes, whereas baseline eosinophil count was not. These findings extend prior cross-sectional observations and suggest that changes in eosinophils may represent a biomarker of glycemic improvement. Further prospective studies are needed to determine whether this relationship reflects underlying immune-metabolic mechanisms or treatment-related changes.

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Neurochemical fingerprinting of the Alzheimers disease continuum using 7 T short-echo-time brain single voxel 1H-MRS.

Dell'Orco, A.; Göschel, L.; Riemann, L. T.; Aydin, S.; Flöel, A.; Tietze, A.; Scheel, M.; Fillmer, A.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365733 medRxiv
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Introduction: This study aimed to characterize the neurochemical profile of Alzheimer s disease (AD) continuum stages using proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy (1H-MRS) data for brain metabolites and macromolecules. We used Orthogonal Projection to Latent Structures Discriminant Analysis (OPLS-DA) to classify diagnostic groups and assess feature importance. Methods: Our dataset consisted of 7 T short-echo time 1H-MRS spectra of the posterior cingulate cortex/precuneus of individuals diagnosed with AD (n = 27) or Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI, n = 27) and Healthy Controls (HC, n = 31). Classification used 100-round Monte Carlo cross-validation based on metabolite concentrations and macromolecular peak intensities. Variable importance in projection (VIP) was assessed across classification models to identify the most relevant neurochemical features. The resulting metabolite rankings were compared with previous literature to evaluate their biological plausibility. Results: Classification was strongest for AD versus HC (AUC=0.88) and lower for comparisons involving MCI. Metabolites contributing most strongly to classification included myo-inositol, ascorbate, and choline-containing compounds, consistent with previous studies on AD-related neurochemical alterations. In addition, specific macromolecular components were identified as relevant features, suggesting a potential contribution of MM signals to the characterization of AD-related neurochemistry. Discussion: These findings support the use of short-echo-time 1H-MRS as a complementary tool for characterizing neurochemical changes in the AD continuum, with potential applications in disease characterization and monitoring, warranting validation in larger cohorts.

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From meal text to carbohydrate to postprandial glucose rise: QLoRA fine-tuning of the Qwen3-4B language model and gradient-boosting prediction in type 2 diabetes

Bou Ali, M. N.; Lassoued, N.; Ben Amor, B.; Nasr, S.; Aouididi, M. A.

2026-10-19 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365634 medRxiv
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Background. In people with type 2 diabetes (T2D), postprandial glucose weighs on glycaemic control, and carbohydrate counting is difficult. Patients can describe their meal but rarely quantify it. Objective. To assess (1) whether a small open large language model (LLM), fine-tuned on public data, estimates the carbohydrate content of a meal described in words, and (2) what this carbohydrate adds to the prediction of the postprandial glucose rise in two public cohorts. Methods. Step 1: the Qwen3-4B LLM was fine-tuned with QLoRA on Nutrition5k dishes and compared with an automatically matched USDA food composition table and with Qwen3-4B and Qwen3-8B used without training, on test dishes (internal control) and on 100 real meals of ShanghaiT2DM patients, whose reference carbohydrate was computed from the recorded quantities. Step 2: the maximum glucose rise between 0 and 120 minutes ({Delta}Gmax) was predicted by personalised gradient boosting (M2), compared with a spline linear regression and with the Chronos-2 foundation model, using only information available at meal start and person-level cross-validation, in ShanghaiT2DM (people with T2D recruited in two Shanghai hospitals; carbohydrate estimated by the LLM) and CGMacros (free-living adults in Santa Barbara, California; carbohydrate entered in the dataset, no text). Step 3: the model was transferred between datasets. 95% confidence intervals (CI) were obtained by cluster BCa bootstrap (2,000 resamples). Results. On the 100 real meals, the carbohydrate mean absolute error (MAE) of the fine-tuned model was 12.2 [9.9, 15.2] g, almost half that of the table (22.6 g; paired difference -10.5 [-16.8, -6.0] g) and nearly a third of that of the same model without fine-tuning (34.3 g), with a bias of -10.3 g; on test dishes it was 2.2 [2.0, 2.5] g. Personalised gradient boosting (M2) reached a correlation between predicted and observed rises of r = 0.63 [0.55, 0.69] in CGMacros (1,286 meals, 45 adults) and 0.49 [0.42, 0.54] in ShanghaiT2DM (2,339 meals, 99 people with T2D), about twice the linear reference (r = 0.32 and 0.23); for a rise above 50 mg/dL, its area under the ROC curve (AUROC) was 0.80 and 0.74, versus 0.64 and 0.68 with pre-meal glucose alone. Adding carbohydrate to pre-meal glucose changed r by 0.095 [0.068, 0.128] in CGMacros and by 0.004 [-0.010, 0.017] in ShanghaiT2DM; difference between datasets: 0.091 [0.060, 0.126]. Applied from one dataset to the other, the model lost correlation ({Delta}r = -0.11 [-0.17, -0.05] towards ShanghaiT2DM and -0.12 [-0.19, -0.04] towards CGMacros). The full "text [-&gt;] LLM [-&gt;] glucose" chain was evaluated in ShanghaiT2DM only. Conclusion. An open 4-billion-parameter LLM, fine-tuned with QLoRA on public data and usable offline, almost halves the error of carbohydrate counting for real meals described in words compared with an automatically matched table, with an underestimation of large meals. Personalised gradient boosting, based on pre-meal glucose and the person's usual response, doubles the correlation of a linear reference for predicting the glucose rise in both cohorts. Carbohydrate improved this prediction in CGMacros but not in ShanghaiT2DM; the two datasets differ in many respects, and the cause of this gap is not established.

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Cost-Effectiveness of Expanding Housing Access for People Experiencing Homelessness and Opioid Use Disorder in California

Ling, Y.; Tsung, S.; Alarid-Escudero, F.; Goldhaber-Fiebert, J. D.; Brandeau, M. L.; Reitsma, M. B.

2026-10-19 health policy 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365505 medRxiv
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People experiencing homelessness (PEH) have substantially lower quality-adjusted life expectancy and substantially higher healthcare spending compared to housed populations. California has the largest population of PEH in the United States, and an estimated ten percent of PEH have co-occurring opioid use disorder (OUD). We developed a lifetime, individual-level microsimulation of the 18,928 PEH with OUD in California to evaluate the health and economic effects of expanding access to housing through a Housing First approach, which does not require OUD treatment or abstinence. Increases in permanent housing and shelter access were based on Los Angeles County's Measure A goals, and we accounted for both housing and healthcare costs. Expanding housing access increased mean age at death by 0.34 years, reduced fatal overdoses for the cohort by 39, and produced an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $31,083 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, well below conventional willingness-to-pay thresholds. We provide evidence that housing is a high-value health intervention for PEH with OUD in California. Policymakers should support Housing First programs as part of integrated responses to the intertwined crises of homelessness and opioid use.

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Interactions between respiratory viruses in US adults and children: a prospective cohort study

Hoffman, K. L.; Weil, A. A.; Wetzler, E. A.; Akinola, B. O.; Beauge, A.; Andy, C.; Adams, A.; Frivold, C.; Cox, S. N.; Ehmen, B.; Hatchie, T.; Clark, E. L.; Drummond, M.; Englund, J.; Han, P. D.; Kuntz, J. L.; Lo, N. C.; Lockwood, C.; Starita, L.; Mularski, R. A.; Naleway, A. L.; Carone, M.; Chu, H. Y.

2026-10-19 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365672 medRxiv
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Background: The relationship between recent viral infection and subsequent susceptibility to, or protection against, other viruses remains unclear, particularly across ages and symptom status. Methods: A prospective cohort study enrolled participants aged 6 months to 49 years in Washington and Oregon, USA, 2022-2024. Weekly nasal swabs were tested for SARS-CoV-2, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and influenza A/B; additional swabs were collected during symptomatic illness and were also tested for parainfluenza (PIV) 1-4, endemic human coronaviruses (hCOV), adenovirus, human metapneumovirus, human rhinovirus (hRV), and enteroviruses. Proportional hazards regression models were used to characterize associations between incident symptomatic infection (illness) and history of recent illness due to other viruses (within 1-7, 8-14, 15-30, 31-60, 61-90, 91-180 days), adjusted for geographic region, age, sex, daycare/school/work attendance, household size, and number of children in the household. For SARS-CoV-2, influenza, and RSV, these analyses were repeated to study incidence of infection (including asymptomatic cases). Findings: Of 3,560 participants, 2,969 (83%) had [&ge;]1 illness over 4,299 person-years. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) in the short term ([&le;]2 weeks) after an illness were predominantly below 1, indicating that recent viral illness was often associated with lower risk of subsequent illness with other viruses. Across age groups, recent hRV illness was associated with lower risk of hCOV, PIV, and RSV illness (aHRs 0.07-0.27). SARS-CoV-2 illness was associated with a higher short-term risk of adenovirus and PIV illness (aHRs 3.20-3.33). In children aged 6 months-4 years, recent influenza illness was associated with higher short-term risk of SARS-CoV-2 illness. Including asymptomatic infections generally attenuated these associations. Interpretation: Some viral illnesses may alter short-term susceptibility to subsequent viral illnesses. Interactions may differ by age and symptom status. Funding: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Washington State Department of Health.

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Functional fine-mapping of the 9p21.3 cardiovascular disease locus implicates the lncRNA MIR31HG as an effector transcript in endothelial cells

Zhigulev, A.; Poujade, F.-A.; Gryzunov, N.; Buyan, A.; Li, H.; Bergman, O.; Liu, M.; Pradhananga, S.; Franco-Cereceda, A.; Swoboda, P.; Kulakovskiy, I. V.; Eriksson, P.; Sahlen, P.; Björck, H. M.

2026-10-19 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365688 medRxiv
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BACKGROUND: The chromosome 9p21.3 locus is among the strongest genetic risk loci for cardiovascular disease (CVD), yet the regulatory mechanisms underlying this association remain poorly understood. Previous vascular disease studies focused predominantly on the role of this locus in smooth muscle cell (SMC) dysfunction, whereas its potential role in endothelial cells (ECs) remains less well characterized. Here, we sought to identify candidate regulatory variants at 9p21.3, their distal target genes, and effector transcripts that contribute to CVD-related phenotypes in ECs. METHODS: Promoter capture Hi-C was used to map chromatin interactions at 9p21.3 in primary human ascending aortic SMCs (n=6), supplementing the previously obtained ECs (n=16) dataset. To support the regulatory relevance of these interactions, expression quantitative trait locus analysis was performed in 136 vascular biopsies. Variant effects were prioritized in silico using AlphaGenome. The regulatory activity of the prioritized region was validated using CRISPR activation. RESULTS: Chromatin interaction mapping identified a complex regulatory architecture at the 9p21.3 locus involving 19 putative regulatory elements and 15 genes across ECs and SMCs. MIR31HG showed the most recurrent distal promoter connectivity with the 9p21.3 region. Consistent with the chromatin interaction map, expression of MIR31HG transcripts was associated with genetic variation at the 9p21.3 locus. In ECs, the lncRNA MIR31HG, but not miR-31, was responsive to hemodynamic flow. Depletion of MIR31HG in ECs was associated with endothelial activation. Epigenetic tracks and deep learning predictions highlighted an active enhancer element at 9p21.3, which was subsequently validated by CRISPR activation and increased MIR31HG expression, confirming its capacity to regulate MIR31HG over a large genomic distance of approximately 538 kb. CONCLUSIONS: Altogether, these data implicate lncRNA MIR31HG as a likely effector of the 9p21.3 CVD locus, linking the cis-regulatory element and heritable genetic variation in the respective region to endothelial activation through long-range enhancer regulation.

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Vascular Proximity Coverage: A Novel CT-Based Marker of Pulmonary Vascular Distance to the Lung Parenchyma

Aguilera, S. M.; Sthanam, V. L.; Nakhmani, A.; Dransfield, M. T.; Bhatt, S. P.; Bodduluri, S.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365547 medRxiv
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Rationale: Conventional CT-derived pulmonary vascular metrics quantify vascular pruning but do not assess the spatial heterogeneity of vascular architecture. In COPD, peripheral microvascular pruning coexists with compensatory central vessel dilation, paradoxically preserving total vessel volume while reducing effective vascular penetration into lung parenchyma. Objectives: To develop and evaluate Vascular Proximity Coverage (VPC), a distance-based CT biomarker quantifying the spatial efficiency of pulmonary vascular distribution. Methods: This retrospective analysis included 7,881 COPDGene participants [PHASE] with complete vascular segmentations. VPC was estimated by integrating the area under the cumulative lung tissue coverage curve at distances of 0-10 mm from segmented vessel voxels. Multivariable models assessed associations with lung function, six-minute walk distance (6MWD), St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) score, mMRC dyspnea score, and all-cause mortality over a median follow-up of [10.8] years, adjusting for demographics, smoking, emphysema, scanner type, and BV5. The cohort was stratified at median BV5 and VPC into concordant (high/high, low/low) and discordant (high-BV5/low-VPC, low-BV5/high-VPC) vascular phenotypes. Results: VPC declined across disease severity (5.82 {+/-} 0.50 [UNITS] in non-smokers to 5.21 {+/-} 0.64 in GOLD 4; p < 0.001). Among spirometrically normal smokers, current smokers had lower VPC than former smokers (5.31 vs. 5.68; p < 0.001). Each standard deviation decrease in VPC was independently associated with reduced 6MWD ({beta} = -16.8 m, 95% CI: -19.5 to -14.0), worse SGRQ ({beta} = 1.9, 95% CI: 1.4 to 2.4), and greater dyspnea (RR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.03 to 1.08; all p < 0.001). The lowest VPC quartile was associated with 38% higher mortality than the reference quartile (HR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.18 to 1.62; p < 0.001). The high-BV5/low-VPC phenotype showed 24% higher mortality than high-BV5/high-VPC (HR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.08 to 1.42; p = 0.002) despite preserved vessel volume. Conclusions: VPC captures spatial heterogeneity of vascular architecture independent of vessel volume, is reduced in smokers without airflow obstruction, and identifies excess mortality risk among individuals whose total vessel volume appears preserved.

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Deep learning-based electrocardiographic differentiation of Takotsubo syndrome from acute anterior myocardial infarction: explainability, human-AI interaction, and a utilization bias hypothesis

Kagawa, E.; Kato, M.; Hidaka, T.; Kunita, E.; Hironobe, N.; Matsui, S.; Kobayashi, Y.; Uotani, Y.; Teramoto, T.; Yoshii, K.; Okumoto, T.; Tani, M.; Dote, K.

2026-10-19 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.10.15.26365116 medRxiv
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Background: Artificial intelligence (AI) may improve electrocardiographic differentiation of Takotsubo syndrome from acute anterior ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), but its impact on human diagnostic performance, the added value of visual explanations, and differences by reader background and experience remain uncertain. Methods: Using 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) images from two hospitals, we developed and externally validated an ensemble of three deep learning models after self-supervised pretraining and fine-tuning. The diagnostic task used ECGs recorded within 14 days after symptom onset, regardless of reperfusion status. We conducted a four-phase reader study. Phases 1-3 compared unaided interpretation, a reference sheet, and additional AI assistance. In Phase 4, readers evaluated a new ECG set after randomization to reference-sheet support alone, with AI predictions, or with AI predictions plus gradient-weighted class activation mapping (Grad-CAM) heatmaps. Diagnostic correctness was analyzed using generalized linear mixed-effects models. Exploratory analyses examined differences by cardiologist status and experience. Results: Development and external-validation cohorts, including healthy controls, comprised 832 and 95 participants, respectively. For Takotsubo-STEMI discrimination, external-validation accuracy was 0.914, with areas under the receiver operating characteristic and precision-recall curves of 0.970 and 0.984. Seventy healthcare providers completed the reader study. The estimated probability of correct diagnosis increased from 0.632 without assistance to 0.864 with AI assistance (odds ratio [OR], 3.71; P<0.001). In randomized Phase 4, AI assistance improved accuracy vs reference-sheet support alone (OR, 4.28; 95% CI, 3.08-5.95; P<0.001), and Grad-CAM provided additional benefit (OR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.04-2.25; P=0.033). Exploratory analyses showed greater improvement among less experienced readers; with AI assistance, non-cardiologists outperformed cardiologists. AI-assisted readers remained less accurate overall than the model alone. Conclusions: An ECG image-based ensemble differentiated Takotsubo syndrome from anterior STEMI and improved reader accuracy. Visual explanations provided additional benefit, while experience-related differences highlight the importance of effective human-AI interaction.

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Pharmacovigilance and Mechanistic Analysis of Adverse Reaction Differences Across EGFR Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor Generations in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Arojo, O.; Jones, A. M.

2026-10-19 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.10.16.26364955 medRxiv
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Background: Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) are widely used for EGFR-mutated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) but have distinct toxicity profiles across generations. Aims: To investigate relationships between EGFR-TKI physicochemical, pharmacokinetic and pharmacological properties and drug-specific adverse drug reactions (ADRs) using national and global pharmacovigilance data. Methods: ADRs for erlotinib, afatinib and osimertinib were extracted from the UK MHRA Yellow Card scheme and WHO VigiAccess. Disproportionality analysis used reporting odds ratios (RORs). Signals were defined as ROR >2, lower 95% confidence interval >1 and >3 cases. Drug properties were curated from ChEMBL, emc, SmPC and EMA sources. Results: VigiAccess contained 88,662 individual case safety reports (163,619 ADRs) and Yellow Card contained 752 reports (1,814 ADRs). Four System Organ Class (SOC) signals were identified in VigiAccess and three in Yellow Card, with five additional Yellow Card Preferred Term signals. Eye disorders showed the strongest consistent association with erlotinib (VigiAccess ROR 4.33; Yellow Card ROR 4.18). Osimertinib was associated with pneumonitis (ROR 7.67) and pulmonary embolism (ROR 3.94). Afatinib showed psychiatric disorder signals in both databases (ROR 3.2-3.3) and diarrhoea (ROR 2.79). Neoplasm-related signals likely reflected confounding by indication. Conclusions: EGFR-TKIs demonstrate generation-specific pharmacovigilance profiles. Integration with drug properties supports mechanistic plausibility for several signals, while the atypical afatinib psychiatric association warrants further investigation. Findings are hypothesis-generating and require confirmation in controlled observational or mechanistic studies.

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Estimating the correlation between rates of change in longitudinal studies in presence of dropout

Dörfel, R. P.; Ozenne, B.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365737 medRxiv
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Estimating the correlation between subject-specific rates of change is a common objective in longitudinal studies. A natural approach is to fit ordinary least squares regressions per subject and correlate the resulting slope estimates directly. Under complete data, this slopes-first estimator is algebraically equivalent to a contrast-based plug-in estimator derived from the joint variance-covariance matrix of the two signals across time. Under independent dropout, however, the slopes-first approach implicitly applies heterogeneous weights across missing-data patterns, introducing bias whenever the cross-covariance between the two signals is not constant over time. We formalise this result and propose an unbiased alternative that estimates the joint covariance matrix before applying the contrast. We further extend our results to include covariates as well. Simulations confirm that the slopes-first estimator is biased under non-constant cross-covariance while the proposed alternative remains unbiased. Further, we show in a real-world example that the two estimators can lead to different scientific conclusions and recommend that researchers working with longitudinal data inspect the missing data pattern to make an informed decision about the estimator of choice.

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Deep Learning-Based Anatomical Level Classification of Craniofacial CT Slices: Comparison of CNN Architectures and Ensemble Methods

Nishimoto, S.; Nakajima, K.; Yoshiike, H.; Ishise, H.; Saito, T.; Kawai, K.

2026-10-19 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.10.16.26365710 medRxiv
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Computed tomography (CT) interpretation requires recognition of the anatomical level of each slice. Classification may facilitate preprocessing and AI-assisted fracture diagnosis. We developed deep learning models to classify craniofacial CT slices into six anatomical categories. A total of 11,769 images were collected from a multicenter database involving 10 Japanese university hospitals and the public Head-Neck-Radiomics-HN1 dataset. Patients were divided into training (70%) and evaluation (30%) sets. Five CNN architectures were trained from scratch, and hard- and soft-voting ensembles were evaluated. Individual-model accuracy ranged from 94.72% to 96.09%; the hard-voting ensemble achieved 96.46% accuracy (Cohen's k = 0.954). Although performance differed among individual models (Cochran's Q = 99.29, p < 0.001), the ensemble did not significantly outperform EfficientNetV2B1 (McNemar's p = 0.163). Errors occurred mainly between adjacent anatomical regions. Deep learning can classify craniofacial CT slices accurately and may support automated dataset organization and AI-assisted fracture diagnosis. External validation is needed.